Share:


The risk of development of Lithuanian derivatives markets

Abstract

Derivative financial instruments play a very important role in financial markets, but they are seen as rather contradictory and their impact on financial markets and the stability of these markets has not been comprehensively examined. Therefore, the aim of this article is to systematise the potential risks of derivatives in the context of the past global financial crisis, and the recent situation in Lithuania. In particular, growing international tension and deteriorating economic situation, make it necessary to re-analyse the recent crisis, its causes and consequences. The 2007–2008 global financial crisis revealed the challenges and risks of derivatives and showed the tremendous impact that their imprudent use may have on the stability of a financial system. The Lithuanian economy recently joined the euro, but its macroeconomic fundamentals show certain risks. Infrastructures of the derivatives market, liquidity and an adequate supervisory framework are necessary to maintain stability.

Keyword : derivatives, financial instrument, risk, foreign exchange transactions and interest rate contracts, financial crisis, causes and consequences of financial crisis

How to Cite
Garškaitė-Milvydienė, K. (2021). The risk of development of Lithuanian derivatives markets. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 22(2), 346-368. https://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2021.13894
Published in Issue
Feb 3, 2021
Abstract Views
1069
PDF Downloads
783
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Akbar, S., Rehman, S., & Ormrod, P. (2013). The impact of recent financial shocks on the financing and investment policies of UK private firms. International Review of Financial Analysis, 26, 59–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2012.05.004

Aysun, U., & Guldi, M. (2011). Derivatives market activity in emerging markets and exchange rate exposure. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 47(6), 46–58. https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540-496X470603

Bae, S. C., Kim H., S. K., & Kwon, T. H. (2017). Currency derivatives for hedging: New evidence on determinants, firm risk, and performance. Journal of Futures Markets, 38(4), 446–467. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.21894

Bank for International Settlements. (2014). Impact assessment of OTC derivatives regulatory reforms. Basle.

Bank for International Settlements. (2018a). Exchange-traded derivatives statistics. https://www.bis.org/statistics/extderiv.htm?m=6%7C32%7C616

Bank for International Settlements. (2018b). Triennial Central Bank Survey of foreign exchange and OTC derivatives markets in 2004–2016. https://www.bis.org/publ/rpfx16.htm

Bardoscia, M., Bianconi, G., & Ferrara, G. (2019). Multiplex network analysis of the UK OTC derivatives market (Working Paper No. 726). Bank of England. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3180709

Barron, A., & Hultén, P. (2011). Corporate political strategizing in the European Union during the 2007–2013 Recession: An Exploratory Study. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 29(5), 783–796. https://doi.org/10.1068/c10165b

Bartram, S. M., Brown, G. B., & Fehle, F. (2009). International evidence on financial derivatives usage. Financial Management, 38(1), 185–206. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-053X.2009.01033.x

Begg, I. (2009). Regulation and supervision of financial intermediaries in the EU: The Aftermath of the Financial Crisis. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 47(5), 1107–1128. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2009.02037.x

Bezzina, F. H., & Grima, S. (2012). Exploring factors affecting the proper use of derivatives. Managerial Finance, 38(4), 414–417. https://doi.org/10.1108/03074351211207554

Bingham, N. H., & Rüdiger, K. (2013). Risk-neutral valuation – pricing and hedging of financial derivatives (5th ed.). Springer Verlag.

Blanco, I., & Wehrheim, D. (2017). The bright side of financial derivatives: Options trading and firm innovation. Journal of Financial Economics, 125(1), 99–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2017.04.004

Borger, V. (2020). The currency of solidarity. Constitutional transformation during the Euro Crisis. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108864633

Braendle, U. (2018). The impact of the European Banking Union’s Single Supervisory Mechanism on corporate governance practices in European banks. Banks and Bank Systems, 13(2), 164–177. https://doi.org/10.21511/bbs.13(2).2018.14

Brigham, E. F., & Davies, P. R. (2016). Intermediate financial management (12th ed.). South-Western College Pub.

Burns, C., Tobin, P., & Sewerin, S. (2019). The impact of the economic crisis on European environmental policy. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198826958.001.0001

Burns, C., & Tobin, P. (2016). The impact of the economic crisis on European Union environmental policy. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 54(6), 1485–1494. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.12396

Carroll, A., O’Brien, F., & Ryan, J. (2017). An examination of European firms’ derivatives usage: The importance of model selection. European Financial Management, 23(4), 648–690. https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12115

Carruthers, B. G. (2013). Diverging derivatives: Law, governance and modern financial markets. Journal of Comparative Economics, 41(2), 386–400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2013.03.010

Chang, C. C., Ho, K. H., & Hsiao, I. J. (2018). Derivatives usage for banking industry: evidence from the European markets. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 51(4), 921–941. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-017-0692-3

Crotty, J. (2009). Structural causes of the global financial crisis: A critical assessment of the “new financial architecture”. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33(4), 563–580. https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/bep023

David, G. (2009). Did recent experience of a financial crisis help in coping with the current financial turmoil? The case of the Nordic Countries. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 47(5), 997–1015. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2009.02032.x

Donohoe, M. P. (2015). Financial derivatives in corporate tax avoidance: A conceptual perspective. The Journal of the American Taxation Association, 37(1), 37–68. https://doi.org/10.2308/atax-50907

Eilifsen, A., & Quick, R. (2018). Florian Schmidt and Steffen Umlauf, Investors’ perceptions of nonaudit services and their type in Germany: The financial crisis as a turning point. International Journal of Auditing, 22(2), 298–316. https://doi.org/10.1111/ijau.12121

Foster, J. B., & Magdoff, F. (2009). The great financial crisis – causes and consequences. NYU Press.

Garskaite-Milvydiene, K., & Burksaitiene, D. (2016). Peculiarities of bankruptcies, restructuring, mergers and acquisitions in Lithuania in the post-crisis period. Inzinerine Ekonomika-Engineering Economics, 27(5), 546–556. https://doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.27.5.16241

Gay, G. D., Lin, C. M., & Smith, S. D. (2011). Corporate derivatives use and the cost of equity. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35(6), 1491–1503. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.10.033

Geyer-Klingeberg, J. G., Hang, M., & Rathgeber, A. W. (2018). What drives financial hedging? A metaregression analysis of corporate hedging determinants. International Review of Financial Analysis, 2019, 61, 203–221. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3164869

Gródek-Szostak, Z., Malik, G., Kajrunajtys, D., Szeląg-Sikora, A., Sikora, J., Kuboń, M., Niemiec, M., & Kapusta-Duch, J. (2019). Modeling the dependency between extreme prices of selected agricultural products on the derivatives market using the linkage function. Sustainability, 11(15), 4144. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11154144

Hentschel, L., & Smith, C. (2020). Risk and regulation in derivatives (or why derivatives are a blessing, not a curse). Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 32(1), 36–37. https://doi.org/10.1111/jacf.12387

Hoa, N., Liu, M. H., & Gallagher, D. (2013). Effective derivative hedging and initial public offering long‐run performance. Accounting & Finance, 54(4), 1263–1294. https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.12036

Höing, O., & Kunstein, T. (2018). Political science and the eurozone crisis. A review of scientific journal articles 2004–15. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 57(2), 298–316. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.12788

Hull, J. (2012). Options, futures, and other derivatives. Pearson.

Iba, H., & Aranha, C. C. (2012). Practical applications of evolutionary computation to financial engineering: Robust techniques for forecasting, trading and hedging. Springer.

Inekwe, J. (2018). Financial crises and the extreme bounds of predictors. Empirical Economics, 55(4), 2047–2067. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1352-0

Jacopo, C., Gros, D., & Micossi, S. (2009). The global financial crisis: Causes and cures. Journal of Common Market Studies, 47(5), 977–996. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2009.02031.x

Jankensgard, H. (2013). Does centralisation of FX derivative usage impact firm value? European Financial Management, 21(2), 309–332. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-036X.2013.12014.x

Kazi, I. A., Wagan, H., & Akbar, F. (2013). The changing international transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks: Is there evidence of contagion effect on OECD countries. Economic Modelling, 30, 90–116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.07.020

Kosowski, R. L., & Neftci, S. N. (2015). Principles of financial engineering. Academic Press Advanced Finance. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-386968-5.00012-1

Lel, U. (2014). Currency hedging and corporate governance: A cross-country analysis. Journal of Corporate Finance, 18(2), 221–225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2011.12.002

Li, Sh., & Marinc, M. (2014). The use of financial derivatives and risks of U.S. bank holding companies. International Review of Financial Analysis, 35, 46–71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2014.07.007

Lietuvos bankas. (2016). Užsienio valiutos pirkimas ir pardavimas [Purchase and sale of foreign currency]. http://www.lb.lt/int/htm.aspx

Lietuvos bankas. (2018). Lietuvos valiutų ir išvestinių finansinių priemonių rinkų apžvalga [Review of Lithuanian foreign exchange and derivatives markets]. http://www.lb.lt/2016_m_lietuvos_valiutu_ir_isvestiniu_finansiniu_priemoniu_rinku_apzvalga

Lietuvos bankas. (2019a). Lietuvos valiutų ir išvestinių finansinių priemonių rinkų apžvalga [Review of Lithuanian foreign exchange and derivatives markets]. http://www.lb.lt/2019_m_lietuvos_valiutu_ir_isvestiniu_finansiniu_priemoniu_rinku_apzvalga

Lietuvos bankas. (2019b). Užsienio valiutos pirkimas ir pardavimas [Purchase and sale of foreign currency]. http://www.lb.lt/int/htm.aspx

Lietuvos Respublikos Seimas. (2007). Finansinių priemonių rinkos įstatymas [Law on Markets in Financial Instruments]. http://www3.lrs.lt/pls/inter2/dokpaieska.showdoc_l?p_id=291835&p_query=&p_tr2=

Marshall, A., Kemmitt, M., & Pinto, H. (2013). The determinants of foreign exchange hedging in Alternative Investment Market firms. The European Journal of Finance, 19(2), 89–100. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2012.659267

Mayordomo, S., Rodriguez-Moreno, M., & Pena, J. I. (2014). Derivatives holdings and systemic risk in the U.S. banking sector. Journal of Banking and Finance, 45, 84–104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.03.037

McKibbin, W. J., & Stoeckel, A. (2010). The global financial crisis: Causes and consequences. Asian Economic Papers, The MIT Press, 9(1), 54–86. https://doi.org/10.1162/asep.2010.9.1.54

Melvin, M., & Taylor, M. P. (2009). The global financial crisis: Causes, threats and opportunities. Introduction and overview. Journal of International Money and Finance, 28(8), 1243–1245. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2009.08.002

Müller, M. A., Riedl, E., & Sellhorn, T. (2015). Recognition versus disclosure of fair values. The Accounting Review, 90(6), 2411–2447. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-51044

Murphy, D. (2013). OTC derivatives: Bilateral trading & central clearing: An introduction to regulatory policy, market impact and systemic risk. Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137293862_7

Naiker, V., Navissi, F., & Truong, C. (2013). Options trading and the cost of equity capital. The Accounting Review, 88(1), 261–295. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-50275

Nedelchev, M. (2018). Coordination of banking supervision in the European Union. Economy of Industry, 83(3), 43–56. https://doi.org/10.15407/econindustry2018.03.043

Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. S. (2009). Global imbalances and the financial crisis: Products of common causes (CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP7606). https://ssrn.com/abstract=1533211

Oldani, C. (2018). Global financial regulatory reforms and sovereign’s exemption. Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, 26(2), 190–202. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFRC-11-2016-0105

Oldani, C. (2008). Governing global derivatives: Challenges and risks. Taylor and Francis.

Parlapiano, F., Alexeev, V., & Dungey, M. (2017). Exchange rate risk exposure and the value of European firms. The European Journal of Finance, 23(2), 111–129. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2015.1072570

Quaglia, L. (2013). Financial regulation and supervision in the European Union after the crisis. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 16(1), 17–30. https://doi.org/10.1080/17487870.2012.755790

Reddy, K. S., Nangia, V. K., & Agrawal, R. (2014). The 2007–2008 global financial crisis, and crossborder mergers and acquisitions. Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, 6(3), 257–281. https://doi.org/10.1177/0974910114540720

Rutkauskas, A. V., Miecinskiene, A., & Stasytyte, V. (2008). Investment decisions modelling along sustainable development concept on financial markets. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 14(3), 417–427. https://doi.org/10.3846/1392-8619.2008.14.417-427

Sakurai, Y., & Kurosaki, T. (2020). A simulation analysis of systemic counterparty risk in over-thecounter derivatives markets. Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, 15, 243–281. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11403-019-00260-7

Sarveswara Reddy, A., & Sathish, K. (2020). The importance of the financial derivatives markets to economic development in the world’s four major economies. International Journal for Research in Engineering Application & Management (IJREAM), 6(1), 508–519. https://doi.org/10.35291/2454-9150.2020.0341

SEB bankas. (2018). Išvestinių finansinių priemonių aprašas [Description of derivatives]. https://www.seb.lt/sites/default/files/PDF/IFP-sandoriu-aprasas.pdf

Shil, N. C., & Das, B. (2017). Financial management: A strategic perspective. SAGE Publications.

Silvo, D., Festic, M., & Kavkler, A. (2012). Comovement dynamics between Central and Eastern European and Developed European Stock Markets during European Integration and Amid Financial Crises – A wavelet analysis. Inzinerine Ekonomika-Engineering Economics, 23(1), 22–32. https://doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.23.1.1221

Su, H. J. C., Joseph, N. L., & Gilder, D. (2018). Monitoring mechanisms, managerial incentives, investment distortion costs, and derivatives usage. The British Accounting Review, 50(1), 93–115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bar.2017.11.004

Swedbank. (2017). Išvestinės finansinės priemonės [Derivatives]. https://www.swedbank.lt/lt/pages/privatiems/isvestines_finansines_priemones

Thapa, C., Neupane, S., & Marshall, M. (2016). Market liquidity risks of foreign exchange derivatives and cross-country equity portfolio allocations. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 34, 46–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2016.01.001

Vo, D. H., Huynh, S. V., Vo, A., & Nguyen, M. H. (2019a). The importance of the financial derivatives markets to economic development in the World’s Four Major Economies. Journal of Risk Financial Management, 12(1), 35. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12010035

Vo, D. H., Nguyen, P. V., Nguyen, M. H., Vo, A. T., & Nguyen, T. C. (2019b). Derivatives market and economic growth nexus: Policy implications for emerging markets. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2018.10.014

Wang, C. C. Y. (2017). Commentary on: Implied cost of equity capital estimates as predictors of accounting returns and stock returns. Journal of Financial Reporting, 2(1), 95–106. https://doi.org/10.2308/jfir-51873